AC Milan welcomes Newcastle United to San Siro Tuesday. Kickoff in the 1st Group F match is set for 12:45 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the AC Milan vs. Newcastle United odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Group F is the most-stacked group of the UEFA Champions Leagues draws, features Borussia Dortmund, PSG, Milan and Newcastle. AC Milan sits 3rd in Serie A, the top Italian league, at 3-0-1 with 9 goals for and 7 against. It is coming off a 5-1 loss to Inter Milan Saturday. F Oliver Giroud is the team’s top goal scorer so far with 4 goals in 4 matches. Milan also made a high-profile addition of F Christian Pulisic this offseason.
Newcastle has a much-improved roster yet sits 11th in the English Premier League. United is led in scoring by F Callum Wilson, who has 3 goals in 5 matches. United has 2 wins and 3 losses, 1 to Man City on the road, 1 to Liverpool at home and 1 to Brighton on the road, so it has been a tough stretch. Newcastle started off the season with a 5-1 win over Aston Villa, so the competitiveness and quality is there.
AC Milan vs. Newcastle United odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:37 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: AC Milan +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Newcastle United +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Draw +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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AC Milan vs. Newcastle United picks and predictions
AC Milan 1, Newcastle United 1
LEAN DRAW (+230).
Both these teams came into the season with ultra-high expectations, and while Milan was making good on those, it was destroyed against Inter last weekend. To turn around after a 5-1 loss and play in a difficult Champions League match won’t be easy, but Milan should get some boost from being at home.
Newcastle has lost both road matches, but it has performed well against Man City, having 0.7 fewer expected goals and Brighton, having 0.1 fewer expected goals. Both of those were road losses, but United hung close. These teams are unfamiliar, and I would expect pace in this 1st game to be slower as well.
Take DRAW (+230) given the style of play and pace this game should be at.
BET UNDER 2.5 (-108).
Newcastle has scored more than 1 goal in just 1 of 5 EPL matches, and it has allowed more than 1 goal in just 2 of 5 EPL matches. AC Milan’s Italian competition may be skewed as it scored 8 goals in its 1st 3 games and then 1 against its toughest opponent.
Milan went Under in 8 of 12 Champions League matches last season. Coupling how they played in UEFA competition last season and Newcastle’s recent style, back UNDER 2.5 (-108).
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