Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State NCAA Tournament Final 4 odds, tips and betting trends

Watch the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (31-6) and No. 9 seed Florida Atlantic Owls (35-3) each look to claim a place in the NCAA Tournament National Championship when they square off in the Final Four on Saturday at NRG Stadium, beginning at 6:09 PM, airing on CBS.

The Aztecs are a slight 2-point favorite against the Owls. The game’s point total is set at 131.5.

San Diego State has compiled a 19-16-1 record against the spread this season, while Florida Atlantic is 24-12-0. The Aztecs have hit the over in 14 games, while Owls games have gone over 19 times. The teams score 149.5 points per game, 18 more points than this matchup’s total. San Diego State is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its past 10 contests, while Florida Atlantic has gone 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 overall.

Ahead of this matchup, here’s what you need to get ready for Saturday’s college hoops action.

Florida Atlantic at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

Spread: San Diego State -2
Total: 131.5
Moneyline: San Diego State -130, Florida Atlantic +109

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San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic prediction

San Diego State 70, Florida Atlantic 68

Moneyline

San Diego State has won 27 of 31 games when listed as the moneyline favorite this season (87.1%).
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -130 or shorter, the Aztecs have gone 27-2 (93.1% winning percentage).
San Diego State has an implied moneyline win probability of 56.5% in this contest.

Florida Atlantic has been underdogs in eight games this season and won six (75%) of those contests.
The Owls are 4-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +109 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 47.8% chance of a victory for Florida Atlantic.

Against the spread

San Diego State has compiled a 19-16-1 ATS record so far this year.
Florida Atlantic has covered 24 times in 36 matchups with a spread this year.
The Aztecs average 71.5 points per game, 6.4 more points than the 65.1 the Owls allow.
San Diego State has a 12-10-1 record against the spread and a 20-4 record overall when putting up more than 65.1 points.
Florida Atlantic is 15-2 against the spread and 18-0 overall when allowing fewer than 71.5 points.
The Owls score an average of 78 points per game, 15.1 more points than the 62.9 the Aztecs give up to opponents.
When it scores more than 62.9 points, Florida Atlantic is 18-10 against the spread and 27-3 overall.
San Diego State is 13-13-1 against the spread and 24-4 overall when it gives up fewer than 78 points.

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Over/Under

The average implied total for the Aztecs this season is 73.3 points, 6.3 more points than their implied total of 67 points in Saturday’s game.
So far this season, San Diego State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (67) 24 times.
The 75.3-point average implied total on the season for the Owls is 10.3 more points than the team’s 65-point implied total in this matchup.
On the season, Florida Atlantic has put up more than 65 points 34 times.

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