For today’s horse racing tips, our analyst James Boyle looks at the flat racing meeting at York, with three selections now online.
Please note: Further bets could follow around midday.
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Roger Fell operates at around a 9% strike-rate but it doubles when Danny Tudhope is booked (16-90) and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Eldrickjones enhance that record. He was forward as a juvenile and finished second in the Coventry, then failed to find any improvement for his experience on the track and subsequently ended up being too highly rated to achieve anything as a 3-year-old.
The handicapper has relented now and he’s 23lbs below his peak rating, so surely it won’t take too long for him to find his way again. There were hints of a revival on this season’s return when mid-division at Newcastle in a race that wasn’t run anywhere near to suit and he’ll be much fitter now. Getting onto turf again is a plus, his draw is fine and he’ll get a solid pace to sit off. He must go well.
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I love Korker and he’ll be hard to beat if all goes to plan for him, but price is everything and he’s a much lesser bet at the current odds compared to what he was last week from a 3lb lower mark. Another who needs things to fall right is Alligator Alley and I’d prefer to gamble on him at 16/1, with his performance behind Korker being one that could be built upon if those up top are coming back.
They weren’t last week when he finished in sixth, beaten four-lengths, and I thought he did fine in the circumstances. It wasn’t mind-blowing by any means and not as eye-catching as today’s favourite, but he had more in him than he was able to show and it was his first go on turf for a while following an All-Weather campaign. This could be his chance to peak and they might go a step quicker this time.
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Verdansk had some good form in a trio of novices at Newbury last season and I thought he shaped well on his handicap debut three weeks ago. Heavy ground on his first attempt away from a flat track seemed to catch him out and it’s also possible that he needed what was his first spin for 197 days. Regardless, things look to be set up for an improved performance today with that under the belt.
The ground will be faster, the track is flatter and I don’t think there’s anything in opposition up to the level of Yacowlef and Striking Star, the two who beat him last time. The second mentioned has since gone on to run second again in a good handicap off 5lbs higher and Verdansk’s rating couldn’t be touched due to him weakening late on. He shouldn’t be repeating that trick around here, I hope!
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