WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his expert predictions and picks on this Manchester City vs Liverpool Premier League match from Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England. Manchester City is 4-0-1 in their last five Premier League matches with Liverpool going 3-1-1.
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|Saturday, April 1||Premier League Betting Notes|
|Total:||3 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)|
|Game Time:||7:30am ET / 4:30am PT|
Two of the biggest clubs in England over the last few seasons clash at the Etihad on Saturday as Liverpool travel the short distance to Manchester to take on Manchester City in a crunch game for both teams this weekend.
Liverpool have exited every competition this season with their sole focus now being on grabbing a Champions League spot for next season.
However, with a current five-point gap between themselves and Newcastle in 5th, and a further seven points behind Tottenham in 4th spot, albeit with two games in hand, that might be easier said than done, especially with Arsenal and Chelsea on the horizon for Liverpool after this weekend’s game against Manchester City.
City meanwhile are fighting wars on all fronts right now, contesting the FA Cup semi-final next month, being drawn against heavyweights Bayern Munich in the Champions League quarter-finals, and currently sitting eight points behind Arsenal in the Premier League standings with a game in hand also.
These two teams have been remarkably split in this venue across recent seasons, with each team holding a W1, D2, L1 record in Manchester since November 2020.
Even more than that is the fact that over that same timeframe, the combined scorelines for each team in those games is 8-8, so another close game could be on the cards for Saturday’s matchup also.
While Manchester City have confirmed Phil Foden will be out until May, with striker Erling Haaland also looking doubtful for Saturday’s game against Liverpool as well, the injury list at Liverpool is even worse, with seven players currently in jeopardy of missing this weekend’s crunch game in Manchester.
Thiago Alcantara, Calvin Ramsay, and Stefan Bajcetic have all been confirmed out for the Reds ahead of this one with Luis Diaz, Konstantinos Tsimkas, Jordan Henderson, and Darwin Nunez also doubtful for Saturday’s matchup as well.
After a two-game winless stretch in the Premier League against both Brentford and Everton either side of the World Cup, things have looked significantly better for Manchester City over 2023 as a whole, especially at home.
The Cityzens have now won eight straight games in this venue, including beating league leaders Arsenal and demolishing RB Leipzig 7-0 in the Champions League also, with City ranking, by a wide margin, as the best defensive team in the league at home in defensive xGA since the start of January.
Liverpool’s injury crisis could well be the difference maker in this one as Stefan Bajcetic is a player Jurgen Klopp has been gradually building into the squad and his presence, or lack thereof, in a key defensive holding role could hurt Liverpool in this one.
Also factor in Thiago and potentially Henderson and Tsimkas’s absences also, which could leave an under-strength line in key central areas which City can then exploit.
At home, City have been especially ruthless across recent games, winning four straight in the Premier League by a combined scoring margin of 12-3.
While this may well be a lower-scoring affair here on Saturday as Liverpool continue to improve defensively, it’s one nonetheless that City should have the quality to get over the line in on Saturday and close the gap on league leaders Arsenal as a result.
Prediction: Manchester City Win and Under 3.5 (+130)
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About The Author
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
‘The Irishman’ Kevin Dolan came to prominence by becoming the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament in Las Vegas back in 2015, something he’s since followed up by winning numerous accolades and awards. Working exclusively with Wagertalk, his systematic and analytical approach to soccer betting, among others, ensures substantial long-term profits for both him and his clients.
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