Watch the No. 2 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (29-6) take to the court against the No. 7 seed Michigan State Spartans (20-12) with a Sweet 16 berth in the East Region of the bracket on the line on Sunday at Nationwide Arena.
The Golden Eagles head into their game as a 2.5-point favorite against the Spartans. The matchup’s over/under is set at 141.5.
Marquette has compiled a 23-12-0 record against the spread this season, while Michigan State is 16-16-0. The Golden Eagles are 17-18-0 and the Spartans are 16-16-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 150.2 points per game, 8.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Marquette has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall. Michigan State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 matches.
Ahead of watching this matchup, here’s everything you need to know about Sunday’s college hoops action.
Michigan State at Marquette odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Marquette -2.5
- Total: 141.5
- Moneyline: Marquette -154, Michigan State +130
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Marquette vs. Michigan State prediction
Marquette 73, Michigan State 71
Moneyline
- Marquette has won 24 of 26 games when the moneyline favorite this season (92.3%).
- The Golden Eagles have a record of 20-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -154 or shorter (95.2% win percentage).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, Marquette has an implied win probability of 60.6%.
- Michigan State has been underdogs in 11 games this season and won three (27.3%) of those contests.
- The Spartans have a record of 3-7 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for Michigan State.
Against the spread
- Marquette has won 23 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
- Michigan State has compiled a 16-16-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Golden Eagles record 12.7 more points per game (79.9) than the Spartans give up (67.2).
- When Marquette totals more than 67.2 points, it is 19-10 against the spread and 24-5 overall.
- Michigan State has a 14-11 record against the spread and a 19-7 record overall when giving up fewer than 79.9 points.
- The Spartans put up the same points per game as the Golden Eagles allow (70.3).
- Michigan State is 6-6 against the spread and 10-2 overall when it scores more than 70.3 points.
- Marquette is 12-4 against the spread and 15-1 overall when it gives up fewer than 70.3 points.
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Over/Under
- The Golden Eagles have an average implied point total of 79.3 this season, which is 7.3 points higher than their implied total in Sunday’s game (72).
- So far this season, Marquette has put up more than 72 points 27 times.
- The 71.9-point average implied total on the season for the Spartans is 1.9 more points than the team’s 70-point implied total in this matchup.
- This year, Michigan State has scored more than 70 points 15 times.
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