WagerTalk F1 handicapper Andy Lang offers his predictions and betting preview on Monaco Grand Prix with drivers starting their engines at 9:00am ET from Circuit de Monaco. Max Verstappen continues his domination of the Formula 1 circuit heading into the Monaco Grand Prix.
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Monaco Grand Prix
F1 Betting Notes
May 28, 2023 9:00am ET / 6:00am PT
Circuit de Monaco in Monte Carlo, Monaco
Max Verstappen (+115 at DraftKings)
Monaco Grand Prix Betting Analysis
Glad to have races I am excited to bet on as the last F1 race was cancelled, and I don’t wager on All-Star wagers.
We come in to this weekend on a 12-3 run in Auto Racing bets, and these are two races I love wagering on as there are great trends in both.
My official plays can be found here:
Monaco is one of the most iconic tracks in Formula 1, and all of racing as the cars race through the streets surrounded by hotels, yachts and a beautiful ocean front.
Unfortunately, from a viewing experience the track doesn’t lend itself to exciting races as it’s extremely hard to overtake on this circuit.
This years race is going to be interesting as the Red Bull cars won’t have the huge DRS advantage they have on other tracks, and guys like Fernando Alonso and Charles Leclerc have to feel that have a chance to win if they can get ahead of Perez and Verstappen.
Mercedes is bringing new upgrades so we’ll have to wait and see how practice and qualifying go for the Silver Arrows, but I expect them to be safely in the Top 10 and maybe the Top 6 depending on how the new upgrades go.
Since passing is so hard on this track, teams will have to nail qualifying as it’s near impossible to come from the back and move to the front.
Weather can be an issue at this event, and last years race was a clear example of how weather can throw the race into chaos. However, as of right now the chance for rain is minimal this weekend.
Monaco Grand Prix Betting Notes
-Even though this track doesn’t perfectly fit Red Bull cars, they finished 1st and 3rd last year with some assistance from the rain and Ferrari’s pit strategy.
-Mercedes Double Top 10 continue to be one of the most reliable bets in all of sports. Both Hamilton and Russell have finished Top 10 in 24 out of the last 27 races.
-Red Bull Double Top 6 is about as good as Mercedes Double Top 10 as Verstappen and Perez have finished Top 6 in 23 out of 27 races.
-You have to go back to 2017 to find the last time less than 16.5 drivers finished the race. Over 16.5 classified drivers is -125 this week.
Monaco Grand Prix Prediction: Mercedes Double Top 10
Lay the -200 at a smaller investment, or use it as a parlay piece.
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