Penn State vs Texas NCAA Tournament Second Round odds, tips and betting trends

Watch the No. 2 seed Texas Longhorns (27-8) attempt to punch their ticket to the Sweet 16 in an NCAA Tournament second round matchup against the No. 10 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (23-13) on Saturday at Wells Fargo Arena, starting at 7:45 PM on CBS.

The Longhorns enter their game against the Nittany Lions as a 5.5-point favorite. The point total for the game is 140.

Texas is 18-17-0 against the spread this season compared to Penn State’s 21-14-1 ATS record. The Longhorns have a 16-17-2 record going over the point total, while games involving the Nittany Lions have a record of 20-16-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 150.3 points per game, 10.3 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Texas is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Penn State has gone 7-2-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

Here is everything you need to get ready for Saturday’s college basketball matchup.

Penn State at Texas odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

Spread: Texas -5.5
Total: 140
Moneyline: Texas -240, Penn State +197

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Texas vs. Penn State prediction

Texas 75, Penn State 68

Moneyline

Texas has a 22-3 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 88% of those games).
The Longhorns have gone 15-1 when they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -240 or shorter (93.8% win percentage).
Texas has a 70.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Penn State has entered the game as underdogs 17 times this season and won eight, or 47.1%, of those games.
The Nittany Lions have a record of 2-4 when they’re set as an underdog of +197 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Penn State has a 33.7% chance to win.

Against the spread

Texas has covered 18 times in 35 games with a spread this season.
Penn State is 21-14-1 ATS this year.
The 77.9 points per game the Longhorns record are 9.8 more points than the Nittany Lions give up (68.1).
When Texas scores more than 68.1 points, it is 13-15 against the spread and 22-6 overall.
When Penn State gives up fewer than 77.9 points, it is 14-10-1 against the spread and 17-8 overall.
The Nittany Lions’ 72.4 points per game are 5.2 more points than the 67.2 the Longhorns give up.
Penn State has put together a 15-5-1 ATS record and a 17-4 overall record in games it scores more than 67.2 points.
Texas has an ATS record of 11-7 and an 18-0 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 72.4 points.

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Over/Under

The Longhorns have an average implied point total of 76.3 this season, which is 3.3 points higher than their implied total in Saturday’s game (73).
This season, Texas has scored more than 73 points 20 times.
The 72.1-point average implied total on the season for the Nittany Lions is 5.1 more points than the team’s 67-point implied total in this matchup.
On the season, Penn State has put up more than 67 points in 25 games.

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