The Philadelphia Phillies (23-26) and Atlanta Braves (30-19) swing into a 4-game NL East series Thursday. The first pitch at Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Atlanta won 11 of 19 meetings in 2022
Philadelphia is looking to snap a 4-game road losing streak. The Phillies are just 2-8 away from home since April 30.
The Braves are continuing a homestand that has thus far seen them go 3-3. Atlanta has been better on the road this season, going 17-7. The club is just 13-12 at home.
Phillies at Braves projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Dylan Dodd
Nola (4-3, 4.31 ERA) makes his 11th start. He owns a 1.07 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.
- Current Atlanta batters own an aggregate .796 OPS against him
- Facing a Braves club that has logged a .939 OPS against southpaws and a .725 figure against right-handers
Dodd (2-1, 6.46 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has notched a 1.83 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 4.1 K/9 in 15 1/3 innings.
- Being recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett for this start; last pitched in the majors on May 4
- A 25-year-old rookie who has pitched a total of 33 2/3 innings at Triple-A
Phillies at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Phillies -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Braves -110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+140) | Braves +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: -102)
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Phillies at Braves picks and predictions
Phillies 4, Braves 3
Atlanta — partly due to an 11-4 mark in 1-run games — figures as a couple of games or so too far out over their skis. With Dodd on the mound, the Braves are vulnerable.
Philly has not been great against southpaws, but the club’s .684 OPS against left pitching is weighed down by a .281 batting average on balls in play. Nola is a consistent sort giving solid value to the PHILLIES (-106) line.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. The pricing here is not too competitive.
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Support numbers make for a somewhat bullish view of both bullpens. The price here is decent. Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 9 (-102).
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